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BofA maintains its forecast for the dollar, what to expect in light of market challenges

According to a report published on Tuesday, Bank of America maintains its forecast for a slight decline in the US dollar despite numerous market challenges.

The bank cited several ongoing concerns, including renewed worries about tariffs, challenges to the Federal Reserve’s independence, potentially unsustainable U.S. fiscal policy and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, as factors influencing currency markets.

BofA specifically kept its EUR/USD forecasts at 1.17 for the end of 2025 and 1.20 for the end of 2026, noting that the US dollar has become “less undervalued” according to their analysis.

The financial institution’s forecasts for the G10 exchange rate remain largely unchanged as markets enter the second half of summer trading.

The only revisions to the bank’s currency outlook last month were adjustments to the Scandinavian currencies, while all other forecasts for major currency pairs were kept at previous levels.

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